SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $50.45 ↑ 6.0% 18th %ile (complacency) • KXWTI 9.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 9.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 9.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 18th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Volatility complacency at 18th percentile contrasts with 10% probability of WTI above $117.

Sources

futures